Trump promised peace and said no nation would control the Strait of Hormuz — but Middle Eastern leaders already believe Iran effectively controls the Strait regardless of any deal. In other words, the political rhetoric doesn't match the reality on the ground. The ones directly suffering are merchant ship crews, with at least five killed in attacks on vessels since March, and logistics companies that can't absorb the rising costs. Oil prices go up, insurers profit, and the dock worker or truck driver sees none of that reflected in their paycheck.
What stands out in this whole situation is the complete failure of preventive diplomacy. Washington and Tehran reached a fragile ceasefire in April, and yet the strikes continued the ones paying the price aren't the strategists in Washington or the Revolutionary Guard generals. It's the oil-importing countries of the Global South, like those in Africa and Asia, that are already facing high inflation and now watching Brent crude surpass $97 a barrel. While the major powers negotiate, entire populations lose purchasing power. This isn't 'collateral damage' it's a political choice.
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